Rupee’s Gradual Depreciation Amid Global Uncertainty: A Managed Move, Say Economists

The rupee recently fell past the 83 mark against the US dollar, raising questions about the stability of India's economy

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The Indian rupee’s recent depreciation is not a cause for immediate concern but rather a controlled response to ongoing global economic uncertainty, according to economists. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is taking calculated steps to manage the currency’s movement, ensuring that India remains competitive in the global market. This approach reflects a broader trend where central banks globally are adjusting their policies to navigate geopolitical tensions and economic challenges.

The rupee recently fell past the 83 mark against the US dollar, raising questions about the stability of India’s economy. However, experts emphasize that this decline is part of a gradual adjustment process, not an alarming collapse. The RBI has been actively intervening in the foreign exchange market to curb excessive volatility, ensuring that the rupee does not appreciate to levels that could hinder India’s export competitiveness. By allowing a measured depreciation, the RBI aims to balance inflation concerns while supporting export growth, a key component of India’s economic strategy.

Global factors such as the Israel-Hamas conflict, rising crude oil prices, and concerns about a global economic slowdown are influencing currencies worldwide, including the rupee. Despite these pressures, economists highlight that India’s foreign exchange reserves remain robust at over $586 billion, providing the central bank with ample capacity to manage currency fluctuations.

Moreover, the Indian economy continues to show resilience, supported by strong domestic demand and a focus on economic reforms. The RBI’s approach aims to strike a balance between maintaining a stable currency and ensuring that India’s growth momentum is not disrupted.

In conclusion, while the rupee’s recent movement reflects the broader global economic landscape, it is part of a strategic effort by the RBI to maintain stability and growth. Economists remain optimistic, noting that India is well-positioned to navigate these uncertainties with a balanced monetary policy.(inputs from agencies)